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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Ain Sud Foot — Bourg en Bresse Péronnas

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Model prediction and result

0:1Came true
Ain Sud Foot27%
Draw26%
Bourg en Bresse Péronnas47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bourg en Bresse Péronnas to win (47%), came true.

Bourg en Bresse Péronnas are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bourg en Bresse Péronnas are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ain Sud Foot — Bourg en Bresse Péronnas What is xG?1.2–1.6
Ain Sud Foot not to lose53%
Bourg en Bresse Péronnas not to lose73%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Ain Sud Foot
  • Ain Sud Foot goals
  • Bourg en Bresse Péronnas goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ain Sud Foot

  • 28.10away · CS Neuvillois1:3
  • 15.10Venissieux FC0:1
  • 13.11away · Bourgoin Jallieu0:0
  • 30.10away · Sillingy4:1
  • 27.10away · Bourgoin Jallieu2:3

Bourg en Bresse Péronnas

  • 21.12Marseille0:6
  • 29.11away · Is-Selongey Football3:2
  • 15.11away · Atlas Paillade2:0
  • 25.10GFA Rumilly Vallières3:3
  • 26.10GFA Rumilly Vallières1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →