Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Águilas Doradas — Independiente Medellín
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In short
Águilas Doradas are slightly stronger: 41% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Águilas Doradas are 87 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Águilas Doradas — No. 8, 25 pts; Independiente Medellín — No. 7, 26 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Águilas Doradas 2 wins, Independiente Medellín 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Águilas Doradas — Independiente Medellín What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Águilas Doradas not to lose | 70% | |
| Independiente Medellín not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Águilas Doradas
- Águilas Doradas goals
- Independiente Medellín goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11Fortaleza FC1:0
- 28.10away · Cúcuta2:0
- 24.10away · Junior0:1
- 18.10Tolima2:1
- 14.10away · Bucaramanga1:1
- 02.11Alianza FC2:1
- 29.10away · Internacional de Bogotá1:3
- 26.10away · Atlético Nacional1:2
- 18.10Once Caldas0:2
- 12.10away · América de Cali2:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Independiente Medellín — Águilas Doradas1:2
- 08.10.2025Águilas Doradas — Independiente Medellín2:1
- 30.03.2025Independiente Medellín — Águilas Doradas0:0
- 15.09.2024Águilas Doradas — Independiente Medellín1:1
- 04.03.2024Independiente Medellín — Águilas Doradas1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 17 | 8 | 0 | 26 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | +3 | 24 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →