Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Bucaramanga — Fortaleza FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
In short
Bucaramanga are clear favourites: 54% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bucaramanga are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Bucaramanga are 244 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Bucaramanga — No. 4, 29 pts; Fortaleza FC — No. 20, 12 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Fortaleza FC: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Bucaramanga 2 wins, Fortaleza FC 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucaramanga — Fortaleza FC What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 82% | |
| Fortaleza FC not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bucaramanga
- Bucaramanga goals
- Fortaleza FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11Atlético Nacional1:1
- 31.10Deportivo Pasto2:1
- 27.10away · Santa Fe1:2
- 24.10away · Chicó FC0:1
- 19.10América de Cali1:1
- 03.11away · Águilas Doradas0:1
- 30.10away · América de Cali1:2
- 25.10Deportivo Cali1:1
- 21.10away · Internacional de Bogotá1:2
- 09.10Millonarios1:1
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Fortaleza FC — Bucaramanga2:1
- 30.11.2025Fortaleza FC — Bucaramanga0:2
- 27.11.2025Bucaramanga — Fortaleza FC1:2
- 27.09.2025Fortaleza FC — Bucaramanga2:1
- 14.04.2025Bucaramanga — Fortaleza FC4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | +16 | 33 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | +9 | 29 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 19 | CD Jaguares | 17 | 3 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | -8 | 12 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →