Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Cali — Tolima
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
In short
Deportivo Cali are slightly stronger: 42% against 26%, draw 32%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Deportivo Cali are 142 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Deportivo Cali — No. 3, 33 pts; Tolima — No. 10, 23 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Deportivo Cali: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Cali 0 wins, Tolima 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Cali — Tolima What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Deportivo Cali not to lose | 74% | |
| Tolima not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Cali
- Deportivo Cali goals
- Tolima goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11Chicó FC2:0
- 25.10away · Fortaleza FC1:1
- 22.10away · Llaneros FC3:0
- 19.10Junior0:0
- 10.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 03.11away · Deportivo Pereira3:1
- 26.10Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 18.10away · Águilas Doradas1:2
- 12.10away · CD Jaguares2:3
- 09.10away · Atlético Nacional0:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Tolima — Deportivo Cali1:1
- 25.10.2025Tolima — Deportivo Cali2:1
- 04.05.2025Deportivo Cali — Tolima1:1
- 08.09.2024Tolima — Deportivo Cali1:1
- 27.02.2024Deportivo Cali — Tolima1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 16 | 10 | +19 | 34 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | +16 | 33 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | +9 | 29 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | +3 | 24 |
| 10 | Tolima | 17 | 6 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 | Cúcuta | 16 | 6 | -6 | 21 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →