Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Cúcuta — CD Jaguares
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
In short
Cúcuta are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cúcuta are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Cúcuta are 167 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Cúcuta — No. 11, 21 pts; CD Jaguares — No. 19, 13 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cúcuta — CD Jaguares What is xG? | 1.7–1.0 | |
| Cúcuta not to lose | 80% | |
| CD Jaguares not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cúcuta
- Cúcuta goals
- CD Jaguares goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10Águilas Doradas0:2
- 25.10away · América de Cali1:3
- 21.10Atlético Nacional1:0
- 12.10away · Chicó FC1:0
- 05.10Deportivo Pereira4:0
- 04.11away · Deportivo Pasto0:2
- 31.10away · Deportivo Pereira0:1
- 27.10Llaneros FC1:0
- 22.10away · Santa Fe1:2
- 18.10away · Millonarios1:4
Head to head
- 03.05.2026CD Jaguares — Cúcuta2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tolima | 17 | 6 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 | Cúcuta | 16 | 6 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogotá | 17 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | CD Jaguares | 17 | 3 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | -8 | 12 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →