Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Millonarios — Alianza FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
In short
Millonarios are clear favourites: 70% against 10% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Millonarios are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- Millonarios are 252 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Millonarios — No. 6, 26 pts; Alianza FC — No. 14, 18 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Millonarios: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Millonarios 1 win, Alianza FC 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Millonarios — Alianza FC What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Millonarios not to lose | 90% | |
| Alianza FC not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Millonarios
- Millonarios goals
- Alianza FC goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 21.10Once Caldas1:1
- 18.10CD Jaguares4:1
- 09.10away · Fortaleza FC1:1
- 30.09away · Independiente Medellín2:2
- 25.09away · Atlético Nacional1:1
- 02.11away · Independiente Medellín1:2
- 29.10away · Once Caldas0:1
- 26.10Internacional de Bogotá1:0
- 20.10away · Deportivo Pasto1:0
- 10.10Águilas Doradas2:2
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Alianza FC — Millonarios2:2
- 14.09.2025Alianza FC — Millonarios3:0
- 30.03.2025Millonarios — Alianza FC2:0
- 29.07.2024Alianza FC — Millonarios2:1
- 01.02.2024Millonarios — Alianza FC1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Independiente Medellín | 17 | 8 | 0 | 26 |
| 13 | Llaneros FC | 17 | 6 | -4 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza FC | 17 | 5 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | -9 | 17 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →