Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Pasto — Junior
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
In short
Evenly matched: Deportivo Pasto 34%, Junior 37%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Deportivo Pasto — No. 18, 15 pts; Junior — No. 16, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Pasto 1 win, Junior 3, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Deportivo Pasto 8, Junior 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Pasto — Junior What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Deportivo Pasto not to lose | 63% | |
| Junior not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto goals
- Junior goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11CD Jaguares2:0
- 31.10away · Bucaramanga1:2
- 26.10away · Tolima1:0
- 23.10away · Atlético Nacional0:3
- 20.10Alianza FC0:1
- 01.11away · Llaneros FC2:3
- 28.10away · Chicó FC1:1
- 24.10Águilas Doradas1:0
- 19.10away · Deportivo Cali0:0
- 15.10Deportivo Pereira1:1
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Junior — Deportivo Pasto4:3
- 29.09.2025Junior — Deportivo Pasto2:0
- 13.04.2025Deportivo Pasto — Junior3:3
- 29.08.2024Deportivo Pasto — Junior1:0
- 09.02.2024Junior — Deportivo Pasto2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 17 | 3 | -9 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 | Chicó FC | 17 | 4 | -15 | 16 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 17 | 4 | -11 | 15 |
| 19 | CD Jaguares | 17 | 3 | -14 | 13 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3329382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →