Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Thursday, 12 November, (UTC+3)
Internacional de Bogotá — Santa Fe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 12 November
In short
Evenly matched: Internacional de Bogotá 33%, Santa Fe 38%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Santa Fe are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Santa Fe are 77 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Internacional de Bogotá — No. 12, 20 pts; Santa Fe — No. 5, 28 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Internacional de Bogotá 2 wins, Santa Fe 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Internacional de Bogotá — Santa Fe What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Internacional de Bogotá not to lose | 62% | |
| Santa Fe not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Internacional de Bogotá
- Internacional de Bogotá goals
- Santa Fe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 29.10Independiente Medellín3:1
- 26.10away · Alianza FC0:1
- 21.10Fortaleza FC2:1
- 11.10away · Junior2:2
- 05.10Once Caldas1:1
- 30.10away · Atlético Nacional0:2
- 27.10Bucaramanga2:1
- 22.10CD Jaguares2:1
- 19.10away · Llaneros FC0:1
- 06.10away · Independiente Medellín1:0
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Santa Fe — Internacional de Bogotá3:1
- 29.09.2025Santa Fe — Internacional de Bogotá3:0
- 11.04.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Santa Fe2:1
- 28.07.2024Santa Fe — Internacional de Bogotá0:1
- 27.05.2024Santa Fe — Internacional de Bogotá2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | +9 | 29 |
| 5, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 6, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | +10 | 26 |
| 11 | Cúcuta | 16 | 6 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogotá | 17 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros FC | 17 | 6 | -4 | 20 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4129301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 5426201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5427181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4232261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →