Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Hilal are clear favourites: 76% against 7% for the opponent, draw 17%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Hilal are about 1.9 goals per match stronger.
- Al Hilal are 197 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al-Ettifaq — No. 7, 12 pts; Al Hilal — No. 1, 21 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- Al-Ettifaq: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Al-Ettifaq 0 wins, Al Hilal 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal What is xG? | 0.9–2.7 | |
| Al-Ettifaq not to lose | 24% | |
| Al Hilal not to lose | 93% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Al-Ettifaq
- Al-Ettifaq goals
- Al Hilal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Al Khaleej1:1
- 11.09away · Al Qadsiah3:3
- 08.09Al-Faisaly0:0
- 04.09away · Abha1:0
- 29.08Al Diriyah0:3
- 10.10Al Ittihad3:2
- 12.09away · Al-Taawoun6:0
- 07.09Neom SC0:2
- 04.09away · Al Shabab2:0
- 01.09Al Ahli3:0
Head to head
- 13.02.2026Al Hilal — Al-Ettifaq2:0
- 18.10.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal0:5
- 11.04.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal1:1
- 08.11.2024Al Hilal — Al-Ettifaq3:1
- 26.02.2024Al-Ettifaq — Al Hilal0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- AbhaAl Shababpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Al Fateh FCAl Riyadhpreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al IttihadNeom SCpreliminary4429261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Al KholoodAl Khaleejpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al-FaisalyAl Diriyahpreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- Al QadsiahAl-Fayhapreliminary831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →