Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Al Qadsiah — Al-Fayha
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Qadsiah are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 12%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Qadsiah are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
- Al Qadsiah are 416 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Qadsiah — No. 2, 19 pts; Al-Fayha — No. 14, 7 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Al Qadsiah: unbeaten in 5; Al-Fayha: winless in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Al Qadsiah 3 wins, Al-Fayha 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Qadsiah — Al-Fayha What is xG? | 2.6–0.7 | |
| Al Qadsiah not to lose | 95% | |
| Al-Fayha not to lose | 17% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- Al-Fayha goals
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Form
- 09.10away · Al Kholood5:0
- 11.09Al-Ettifaq3:3
- 08.09Al Ahli3:2
- 03.09away · Al Diriyah2:0
- 30.08Al-Faisaly3:1
- 15.10away · Al Khaleej0:2
- 11.10Al Riyadh1:1
- 12.09away · Al Shabab0:0
- 08.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
- 03.09Al Kholood2:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Al-Fayha — Al Qadsiah1:2
- 14.01.2026Al Qadsiah — Al-Fayha5:0
- 12.04.2025Al-Fayha — Al Qadsiah2:1
- 07.11.2024Al Qadsiah — Al-Fayha2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- AbhaAl Shababpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Al-EttifaqAl Hilalpreliminary717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- Al Fateh FCAl Riyadhpreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al IttihadNeom SCpreliminary4429261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Al KholoodAl Khaleejpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al-FaisalyAl Diriyahpreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →