Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Al Ittihad — Neom SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Ittihad are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Ittihad are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Al Ittihad are 145 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Ittihad — No. 4, 17 pts; Neom SC — No. 5, 16 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Neom SC: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Al Ittihad 1 win, Neom SC 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Ittihad — Neom SC What is xG? | 1.6–1.3 | |
| Al Ittihad not to lose | 74% | |
| Neom SC not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Ittihad
- Al Ittihad goals
- Neom SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Al Hilal2:3
- 11.09away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 08.09Al-Fayha2:1
- 05.09Al Nassr FC2:1
- 29.08away · Al Fateh FC0:0
- 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1
- 13.09Al Fateh FC4:2
- 07.09away · Al Hilal2:0
- 03.09Al Khaleej3:0
- 28.08away · Al Riyadh0:1
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Al Ittihad — Neom SC3:4
- 31.12.2025Neom SC — Al Ittihad1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- AbhaAl Shababpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Al-EttifaqAl Hilalpreliminary717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- Al Fateh FCAl Riyadhpreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al KholoodAl Khaleejpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al-FaisalyAl Diriyahpreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- Al QadsiahAl-Fayhapreliminary831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →