Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Al-Faisaly — Al Diriyah
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Diriyah are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Diriyah are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al-Faisaly — No. 15, 6 pts; Al Diriyah — No. 9, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Faisaly — Al Diriyah What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Al-Faisaly not to lose | 59% | |
| Al Diriyah not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al-Faisaly
- Al-Faisaly goals
- Al Diriyah goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10Al Kholood3:2
- 11.09Al Ittihad1:3
- 08.09away · Al-Ettifaq0:0
- 05.09Al Hazem0:0
- 30.08away · Al Qadsiah1:3
- 09.10away · Al Nassr FC0:3
- 13.09Abha0:0
- 09.09away · Al Fateh FC2:1
- 03.09Al Qadsiah0:2
- 29.08away · Al-Ettifaq3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 9 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 9 | 1 | -10 | 6 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- AbhaAl Shababpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Al-EttifaqAl Hilalpreliminary717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- Al Fateh FCAl Riyadhpreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al IttihadNeom SCpreliminary4429261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Al KholoodAl Khaleejpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al QadsiahAl-Fayhapreliminary831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →