Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Al Kholood — Al Khaleej
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Kholood are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Al Kholood are 104 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Kholood — No. 8, 12 pts; Al Khaleej — No. 11, 9 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Al Kholood: 3 defeats in a row; Al Khaleej: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 4 meetings: Al Kholood 2 wins, Al Khaleej 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Kholood — Al Khaleej What is xG? | 1.6–1.4 | |
| Al Kholood not to lose | 70% | |
| Al Khaleej not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Handicap Al Kholood
- Al Kholood goals
- Al Khaleej goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 15.10away · Al-Faisaly2:3
- 09.10Al Qadsiah0:5
- 13.09away · Al Riyadh0:2
- 09.09Al Shabab2:1
- 03.09away · Al-Fayha2:2
- 15.10Al-Fayha2:0
- 10.10away · Al-Ettifaq1:1
- 12.09Al Nassr FC1:1
- 07.09Al Riyadh0:0
- 03.09away · Neom SC0:3
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Al Kholood — Al Khaleej2:2
- 24.02.2026Al Khaleej — Al Kholood2:3
- 01.03.2025Al Kholood — Al Khaleej2:1
- 04.10.2024Al Khaleej — Al Kholood1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 9 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 9 | 1 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- AbhaAl Shababpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Al-EttifaqAl Hilalpreliminary717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- Al Fateh FCAl Riyadhpreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al IttihadNeom SCpreliminary4429261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Al-FaisalyAl Diriyahpreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- Al QadsiahAl-Fayhapreliminary831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →