Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Abha — Al Shabab
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Shabab are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Shabab are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Abha — No. 18, 2 pts; Al Shabab — No. 13, 7 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Abha 1 win, Al Shabab 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Abha — Al Shabab What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Abha not to lose | 52% | |
| Al Shabab not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Abha
- Abha goals
- Al Shabab goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.09away · Al Diriyah0:0
- 09.09away · Al Nassr FC1:2
- 04.09Al-Ettifaq0:1
- 28.08away · Al-Fayha2:3
- 25.08Al Khaleej1:1
- 11.10Al-Taawoun3:0
- 12.09Al-Fayha0:0
- 09.09away · Al Kholood1:2
- 04.09Al Hilal0:2
- 30.08away · Al Hazem1:1
Head to head
- 18.04.2024Al Shabab — Abha5:0
- 28.10.2023Abha — Al Shabab2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | -6 | 7 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- Al-EttifaqAl Hilalpreliminary717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- Al Fateh FCAl Riyadhpreliminary4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al IttihadNeom SCpreliminary4429261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Al KholoodAl Khaleejpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al-FaisalyAl Diriyahpreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- Al QadsiahAl-Fayhapreliminary831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →