Saudi Pro League, round 13 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Fateh FC are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Fateh FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Al Fateh FC are 62 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Al Fateh FC — No. 16, 6 pts; Al Riyadh — No. 12, 9 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Fateh FC 1 win, Al Riyadh 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Al Fateh FC not to lose | 76% | |
| Al Riyadh not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Fateh FC
- Al Fateh FC goals
- Al Riyadh goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 15.10away · Al Hazem3:2
- 09.10Al Ahli0:4
- 13.09away · Neom SC2:4
- 09.09Al Diriyah1:2
- 05.09away · Al-Taawoun0:0
- 11.10away · Al-Fayha1:1
- 13.09Al Kholood2:0
- 07.09away · Al Khaleej0:0
- 04.09away · Al Ahli0:5
- 28.08Neom SC1:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Al Riyadh — Al Fateh FC1:0
- 13.01.2026Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh3:1
- 23.04.2025Al Riyadh — Al Fateh FC2:2
- 28.11.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh1:2
- 02.05.2024Al Fateh FC — Al Riyadh2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 9 | 1 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 9 | 1 | -10 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- Al AhliAl-Taawounpreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- AbhaAl Shababpreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Al-EttifaqAl Hilalpreliminary717762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.6
- Al HazemAl Nassr FCpreliminary919722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.2
- Al IttihadNeom SCpreliminary4429261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Al KholoodAl Khaleejpreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al-FaisalyAl Diriyahpreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.6
- Al QadsiahAl-Fayhapreliminary831251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →