AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Al Nassr FC — Al-Sadd
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Nassr FC are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Nassr FC are about 1.4 goals per match stronger.
- Al Nassr FC are 366 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Al Nassr FC: 5 wins in a row; Al-Sadd: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Nassr FC — Al-Sadd What is xG? | 3.0–0.7 | |
| Al Nassr FC not to lose | 95% | |
| Al-Sadd not to lose | 17% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Nassr FC
- Al Nassr FC goals
- Al-Sadd goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 02.11away · Pakhtakor Tashkent6:2
- 29.10Al Kholood5:3
- 23.10away · Al-Faisaly3:1
- 20.10Neom SC1:0
- 12.10Neftchi Fargona3:1
- 02.11Al Ahli0:0
- 26.10away · Al Qadsiah1:1
- 13.10Al Hilal0:2
- 14.09away · Esteghlal0:3
- 16.04Vissel Kobe3:3
Head to head
- 02.12.2024Al Nassr FC — Al-Sadd1:2
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- Shanghai PortBuriram Unitedpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
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This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →