AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Kyoto Sanga FC — Pohang Steelers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kyoto Sanga FC are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kyoto Sanga FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Kyoto Sanga FC are 145 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Kyoto Sanga FC: unbeaten in 5; Pohang Steelers: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kyoto Sanga FC — Pohang Steelers What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Kyoto Sanga FC not to lose | 80% | |
| Pohang Steelers not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kyoto Sanga FC
- Kyoto Sanga FC goals
- Pohang Steelers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kyoto Sanga FC | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 0.96 | 0.63 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 10.0 |
| On target | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 45 |
Form
- 03.11away · Công An Hà Nội0:0
- 31.10Shimizu S-Pulse2:0
- 27.10Newcastle Jets5:2
- 24.10away · Gamba Osaka2:2
- 21.10Kashima Antlers2:2
- 04.11Gamba Osaka3:3
- 01.11Jeju SK1:1
- 28.10away · Kashima Antlers0:3
- 24.10away · Ulsan HD FC2:2
- 18.10FC Anyang0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
AFC Champions League Elite on the same day
- Newcastle JetsKashiwa Reysolpreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Daejeon Hana CitizenBeijing Guoanpreliminary5623211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- Công An Hà NộiVissel Kobepreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Ratchaburi FCJohor Darul Ta'zimpreliminary3626382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Shanghai PortBuriram Unitedpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary2124552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Al Nassr FCAl-Saddpreliminary831151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →