AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Ratchaburi FC — Johor Darul Ta'zim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Ratchaburi FC 36%, Johor Darul Ta'zim 38%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Johor Darul Ta'zim are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Johor Darul Ta'zim are 53 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Ratchaburi FC: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ratchaburi FC — Johor Darul Ta'zim What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Ratchaburi FC not to lose | 62% | |
| Johor Darul Ta'zim not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ratchaburi FC
- Ratchaburi FC goals
- Johor Darul Ta'zim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 03.11away · Vissel Kobe2:3
- 27.10Kashiwa Reysol0:0
- 13.10away · Kyoto Sanga FC0:1
- 15.09Shanghai Port4:6
- 03.11away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:2
- 27.10Port FC3:0
- 13.10away · Pohang Steelers2:0
- 15.09Buriram United1:1
- 17.04away · Al Ahli1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
AFC Champions League Elite on the same day
- Newcastle JetsKashiwa Reysolpreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Daejeon Hana CitizenBeijing Guoanpreliminary5623211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- Kyoto Sanga FCPohang Steelerspreliminary5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Công An Hà NộiVissel Kobepreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Shanghai PortBuriram Unitedpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary2124552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Al Nassr FCAl-Saddpreliminary831151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →