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AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Công An Hà Nội — Vissel Kobe

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Model prediction for 24 November

Công An Hà Nội26%
Draw25%
Vissel Kobe49%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Vissel Kobe are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Vissel Kobe are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Vissel Kobe are 158 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Vissel Kobe: 3 wins in a row.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Công An Hà Nội — Vissel Kobe What is xG?1.2–1.7
Công An Hà Nội not to lose51%
Vissel Kobe not to lose74%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Công An Hà Nội
  • Công An Hà Nội goals
  • Vissel Kobe goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Công An Hà Nội

  • 03.11Kyoto Sanga FC0:0
  • 27.10away · Shanghai Port3:2
  • 13.10Kashima Antlers0:1
  • 15.09away · Gamba Osaka1:4

Vissel Kobe

  • 03.11Ratchaburi FC3:2
  • 31.10Nagoya Grampus3:1
  • 27.10away · Daejeon Hana Citizen1:0
  • 24.10Machida Zelvia0:0
  • 21.10away · Kawasaki Frontale1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

AFC Champions League Elite on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →