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AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

Shanghai Port — Buriram United

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Model prediction for 24 November

Shanghai Port40%
Draw26%
Buriram United34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Shanghai Port 40%, Buriram United 34%, draw 26%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.

Facts

  • Buriram United: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Shanghai Port — Buriram United What is xG?1.5–1.4
Shanghai Port not to lose66%
Buriram United not to lose60%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Shanghai Port
  • Shanghai Port goals
  • Buriram United goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Shanghai Port

  • 03.11away · Newcastle Jets4:2
  • 27.10Công An Hà Nội2:3
  • 13.10Daejeon Hana Citizen1:1
  • 15.09away · Ratchaburi FC6:4
  • 18.02Ulsan HD FC0:0

Buriram United

  • 04.11Kashima Antlers0:0
  • 28.10away · Gamba Osaka1:1
  • 13.10Beijing Guoan0:1
  • 15.09away · Johor Darul Ta'zim1:1
  • 18.04Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC2:3

Head to head

  • 04.11.2025Buriram United — Shanghai Port2:0

AFC Champions League Elite on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →