AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Daejeon Hana Citizen — Beijing Guoan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Daejeon Hana Citizen are clear favourites: 56% against 21% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Daejeon Hana Citizen are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen are 143 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Daejeon Hana Citizen — Beijing Guoan What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen not to lose | 79% | |
| Beijing Guoan not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Daejeon Hana Citizen
- Daejeon Hana Citizen goals
- Beijing Guoan goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 03.11away · Kashiwa Reysol0:2
- 31.10away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:0
- 27.10Vissel Kobe0:1
- 24.10away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:1
- 18.10Gwangju FC3:2
- 03.11away · Port FC4:7
- 27.10Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:2
- 13.10away · Buriram United1:0
- 15.09Pohang Steelers3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
AFC Champions League Elite on the same day
- Newcastle JetsKashiwa Reysolpreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Kyoto Sanga FCPohang Steelerspreliminary5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Công An Hà NộiVissel Kobepreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Ratchaburi FCJohor Darul Ta'zimpreliminary3626382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Shanghai PortBuriram Unitedpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FCAl Qadsiahpreliminary2124552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Al Nassr FCAl-Saddpreliminary831151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →