AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC — Al Qadsiah
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al Qadsiah are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Qadsiah are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Al Qadsiah are 146 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC — Al Qadsiah What is xG? | 1.1–1.9 | |
| Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC not to lose | 45% | |
| Al Qadsiah not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC goals
- Al Qadsiah goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 03.11away · Al Hilal0:2
- 27.10Esteghlal2:0
- 13.10away · Al Ittihad2:1
- 14.09Tractor1:0
- 21.04away · Machida Zelvia0:1
- 02.11away · Al-Gharafa5:0
- 29.10away · Al Riyadh6:0
- 26.10Al-Sadd1:1
- 23.10Al Hilal2:3
- 20.10away · Al-Taawoun1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
AFC Champions League Elite on the same day
- Newcastle JetsKashiwa Reysolpreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- Daejeon Hana CitizenBeijing Guoanpreliminary5623211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- Kyoto Sanga FCPohang Steelerspreliminary5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Công An Hà NộiVissel Kobepreliminary2625492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- Ratchaburi FCJohor Darul Ta'zimpreliminary3626382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Shanghai PortBuriram Unitedpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- Al Nassr FCAl-Saddpreliminary831151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 4:03.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →