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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Argonay US — FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier

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Model prediction and result

0:12Came true
Argonay US23%
Draw25%
FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier52%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:12: the model's most likely outcome, FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier to win (52%), came true.

FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier are clear favourites: 52% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier are 92 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Argonay US — FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier What is xG?1.1–1.7
Argonay US not to lose48%
FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier not to lose77%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Argonay US
  • Argonay US goals
  • FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Argonay US

No past matches in the data yet.

FC Limonest Dardilly Saint-Didier

  • 18.11AS Domerat0:0
  • 29.10away · US Saint Galmier Chamboeuf2:1
  • 30.11away · Jura Sud1:1
  • 30.10away · Venissieux FC2:0
  • 16.10away · FC Chabeuil5:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →