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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

AS Verson — Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles

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Model prediction and result

4:0Missed
AS Verson35%
Draw27%
Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: AS Verson 35%, Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles 38%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: AS Verson — Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles What is xG?1.3–1.4
AS Verson not to lose62%
Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles not to lose65%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap AS Verson
  • AS Verson goals
  • Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

AS Verson

  • 27.10Gonfreville0:3

Jeunesse Fertoise Bagnoles

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • AS VersonRC Calais14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →