Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Atlanta — Club Atlético Estudiantes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlanta are clear favourites: 50% against 21% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlanta are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Atlanta are 130 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Atlanta 1 win, Club Atlético Estudiantes 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlanta — Club Atlético Estudiantes What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Atlanta not to lose | 79% | |
| Club Atlético Estudiantes not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlanta
- Atlanta goals
- Club Atlético Estudiantes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10CA Ferrocarril Midland0:0
- 25.10away · Gimnasia Jujuy2:1
- 17.10away · Gimnasia y Tiro1:3
- 11.10San Martín de Tucumán1:0
- 04.10away · Atlético Rafaela3:2
- 02.11away · All Boys0:1
- 25.10Los Andes1:1
- 19.10away · Godoy Cruz3:6
- 11.10Deportivo Morón2:0
- 03.10away · Colón0:1
Head to head
- 19.06.2023Atlanta — Club Atlético Estudiantes3:2
- 11.02.2023Club Atlético Estudiantes — Atlanta2:0
Primera Nacional on the same day
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárezpreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- ColónCA Ferrocarril Midlandpreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Maipúpreliminary5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Deportivo MorónColegialespreliminary5328201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiropreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brownpreliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívarpreliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →