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Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)

Temperley — Ciudad de Bolívar

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Model prediction for 15 November

Temperley61%
Draw26%
Ciudad de Bolívar14%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Temperley are clear favourites: 61% against 14% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Temperley are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
  • Temperley are 195 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Temperley — Ciudad de Bolívar What is xG?1.6–0.7
Temperley not to lose86%
Ciudad de Bolívar not to lose39%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Temperley
  • Temperley goals
  • Ciudad de Bolívar goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Temperley

  • 31.10away · Atlético Güemes2:2
  • 25.10Chacarita Juniors0:1
  • 19.10away · San Martín San Juan1:1
  • 11.10Nueva Chicago2:1
  • 03.10Gimnasia Jujuy2:1

Ciudad de Bolívar

  • 31.10away · Deportivo Morón0:2
  • 25.10Colón0:2
  • 17.10away · CA San Miguel2:1
  • 12.10San Telmo1:0
  • 03.10away · Acassuso1:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Primera Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →