Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Deportivo Madryn — Deportivo Maipú
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Deportivo Madryn are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Madryn are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Deportivo Madryn are 143 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Deportivo Madryn 0 wins, Deportivo Maipú 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Madryn — Deportivo Maipú What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Deportivo Madryn not to lose | 84% | |
| Deportivo Maipú not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Madryn
- Deportivo Madryn goals
- Deportivo Maipú goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10away · CA San Miguel1:0
- 25.10San Telmo4:1
- 17.10away · Acassuso0:0
- 11.10CA Chaco For Ever1:2
- 03.10away · Ferro Carril Oeste2:0
- 31.10away · Tristán Suárez0:0
- 25.10Atlético Güemes3:1
- 17.10away · Chacarita Juniors0:1
- 11.10San Martín San Juan1:1
- 05.10away · Nueva Chicago1:0
Head to head
- 31.08.2025Deportivo Maipú — Deportivo Madryn2:1
- 27.04.2025Deportivo Madryn — Deportivo Maipú1:1
- 25.09.2023Deportivo Maipú — Deportivo Madryn0:0
- 13.05.2023Deportivo Madryn — Deportivo Maipú2:3
Primera Nacional on the same day
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárezpreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- ColónCA Ferrocarril Midlandpreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Deportivo MorónColegialespreliminary5328201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiropreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- AtlantaClub Atlético Estudiantespreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brownpreliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívarpreliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →