Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Godoy Cruz — Tristán Suárez
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Godoy Cruz are clear favourites: 45% against 24% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Godoy Cruz are 87 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Godoy Cruz: 3 wins in a row; Tristán Suárez: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Godoy Cruz — Tristán Suárez What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| Godoy Cruz not to lose | 76% | |
| Tristán Suárez not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Godoy Cruz
- Godoy Cruz goals
- Tristán Suárez goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 31.10Almirante Brown2:1
- 25.10away · Club Atlético Mitre3:0
- 19.10Club Atlético Estudiantes6:3
- 13.10away · All Boys0:0
- 05.10Los Andes2:1
- 31.10Deportivo Maipú0:0
- 24.10away · Almagro1:1
- 17.10Patronato de Parana1:0
- 10.10away · Colegiales0:0
- 03.10Quilmes0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Primera Nacional on the same day
- ColónCA Ferrocarril Midlandpreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Maipúpreliminary5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Deportivo MorónColegialespreliminary5328201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiropreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- AtlantaClub Atlético Estudiantespreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brownpreliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívarpreliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →