Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Colón — CA Ferrocarril Midland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Colón are clear favourites: 45% against 25% for the opponent, draw 31%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (1.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Colón are 75 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Colón: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Colón — CA Ferrocarril Midland What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| Colón not to lose | 75% | |
| CA Ferrocarril Midland not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Colón
- Colón goals
- CA Ferrocarril Midland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 01.11CA Defensores de Belgrano2:0
- 25.10away · Ciudad de Bolívar2:0
- 18.10Almirante Brown2:2
- 11.10away · Club Atlético Mitre0:0
- 03.10Club Atlético Estudiantes1:0
- 31.10away · Atlanta0:0
- 25.10Gimnasia y Tiro3:0
- 19.10away · San Martín de Tucumán2:3
- 10.10Atlético Rafaela4:0
- 04.10away · Agropecuario0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Primera Nacional on the same day
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárezpreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Maipúpreliminary5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Deportivo MorónColegialespreliminary5328201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiropreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- AtlantaClub Atlético Estudiantespreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brownpreliminary5227201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívarpreliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →