Primera Nacional, playoff · Sunday, 15 November, (UTC+3)
Gimnasia Jujuy — Almirante Brown
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gimnasia Jujuy are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 1.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gimnasia Jujuy are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Gimnasia Jujuy are 86 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Gimnasia Jujuy 1 win, Almirante Brown 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gimnasia Jujuy — Almirante Brown What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy not to lose | 80% | |
| Almirante Brown not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gimnasia Jujuy
- Gimnasia Jujuy goals
- Almirante Brown goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10away · San Martín San Juan1:5
- 25.10Atlanta1:2
- 18.10away · Nueva Chicago1:0
- 11.10Gimnasia y Tiro2:2
- 03.10away · Temperley1:2
- 31.10away · Godoy Cruz1:2
- 25.10Deportivo Morón1:0
- 18.10away · Colón2:2
- 11.10CA San Miguel1:1
- 04.10away · San Telmo2:3
Head to head
- 24.08.2025Almirante Brown — Gimnasia Jujuy0:0
- 20.04.2025Gimnasia Jujuy — Almirante Brown1:0
Primera Nacional on the same day
- Godoy CruzTristán Suárezpreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- ColónCA Ferrocarril Midlandpreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Maipúpreliminary5925161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- Deportivo MorónColegialespreliminary5328201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- Ferro Carril OesteGimnasia y Tiropreliminary4531241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- AtlantaClub Atlético Estudiantespreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- TemperleyCiudad de Bolívarpreliminary6126141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →