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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Brouviller — Talange

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Model prediction and result

0:4Missed
Brouviller39%
Draw27%
Talange34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Brouviller to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Brouviller 39%, Talange 34%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Brouviller are 70 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brouviller — Talange What is xG?1.4–1.3
Brouviller not to lose66%
Talange not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Brouviller
  • Brouviller goals
  • Talange goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brouviller

No past matches in the data yet.

Talange

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • TalangeBaume-les-Dames14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →