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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

CS Chaumontois — RC Calais

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Model prediction and result

1:3Came true
CS Chaumontois33%
Draw27%
RC Calais41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, RC Calais to win (41%), came true.

RC Calais are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: CS Chaumontois — RC Calais What is xG?1.3–1.4
CS Chaumontois not to lose59%
RC Calais not to lose67%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap CS Chaumontois
  • CS Chaumontois goals
  • RC Calais goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

CS Chaumontois

  • 29.10away · US Pays de Cassel1:2
  • 15.10Boulogne1:1

RC Calais

  • 26.10away · AS Steenvoorde0:1
  • 21.12Strasbourg0:3
  • 30.11away · Le Touquet1:0
  • 17.11away · Les Ulis3:1
  • 27.10away · US Daours5:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • AS VersonRC Calais14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →