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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

ES Vigneux — Vendée Fontenay Foot

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
ES Vigneux28%
Draw26%
Vendée Fontenay Foot46%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Vendée Fontenay Foot to win (46%), came true.

Vendée Fontenay Foot are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Vendée Fontenay Foot are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: ES Vigneux — Vendée Fontenay Foot What is xG?1.2–1.6
ES Vigneux not to lose54%
Vendée Fontenay Foot not to lose72%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap ES Vigneux
  • ES Vigneux goals
  • Vendée Fontenay Foot goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

ES Vigneux

  • 06.02Laval1:2

Vendée Fontenay Foot

  • 20.12Paris Saint-Germain0:4
  • 29.11Châteauroux4:1
  • 15.11Chamalières0:0
  • 26.10away · Vieillevigne5:0
  • 16.11ESOF La Roche1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →