Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
ES Villerupt — Amnéville
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Amnéville to win (49%), came true.
Amnéville are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Amnéville are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Amnéville are 53 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: ES Villerupt — Amnéville What is xG? | 1.1–1.6 | |
| ES Villerupt not to lose | 51% | |
| Amnéville not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Amnéville goals
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Form
- 26.10Bogny1:3
- 19.11ASC Biesheim0:2
- 29.10away · Bogny0:0
- 07.01Annecy FC1:6
- 20.11US Reipertswiller1:1
- 14.02Prix-les-Mezieres0:0
- 30.01away · Blainville Damelevieres7:0
- 16.11Paris FC0:2
- 26.10away · Le Theux2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- AmnévilleAS Sundhoffen14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →