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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

ESOF La Roche — Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant

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Model prediction and result

0:4Came true
ESOF La Roche27%
Draw26%
Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant47%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant to win (47%), came true.

Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: ESOF La Roche — Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant What is xG?1.2–1.6
ESOF La Roche not to lose53%
Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant not to lose73%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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Form

ESOF La Roche

  • 26.10away · SC Beaucouzé2:3
  • 30.11Racing Club de Saint Joseph1:3
  • 16.11away · Vendée Fontenay Foot2:1
  • 27.10away · St Julien Divatte4:1
  • 13.11Le Mans1:4

Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant

  • 29.10away · ESA Brissac Football2:2
  • 29.10Lannion1:1
  • 16.10away · Vieillevigne1:0
  • 13.11La Roche VF0:2
  • 30.10away · Les Sables FCOC3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →