Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Estrela da Amadora — Portimonense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Estrela da Amadora 39%, Portimonense 35%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Estrela da Amadora are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: Estrela da Amadora 1 win, Portimonense 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Estrela da Amadora — Portimonense What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Estrela da Amadora not to lose | 65% | |
| Portimonense not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Estrela da Amadora
- Estrela da Amadora goals
- Portimonense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 31.10away · Moreirense1:2
- 24.10Casa Pia AC0:2
- 17.10away · Fazendense2:1
- 11.10away · Arouca0:1
- 20.09Académico Viseu0:2
- 17.10away · Florgrade2:1
- 19.09away · AD Castro Daire1:0
- 18.10Arouca1:2
- 20.09away · Vitória de Sernache2:1
- 18.10Sporting CP1:2
Head to head
- 09.02.2024Estrela da Amadora — Portimonense3:0
- 02.09.2023Portimonense — Estrela da Amadora1:1
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- SanjoanenseAcadémicapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Gil VicenteOlhanensepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- VianenseRio Avepreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- FarenseFátimapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Vitória de SernacheLusitânia Lourosapreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- União de LeiriaLeçapreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TorreenseBenficapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →