Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Vianense — Rio Ave
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rio Ave are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rio Ave are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Rio Ave are 171 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vianense — Rio Ave What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Vianense not to lose | 41% | |
| Rio Ave not to lose | 82% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vianense
- Vianense goals
- Rio Ave goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 17.10Leixões1:0
- 20.09away · Estrela Calheta3:1
- 19.10away · UF Comércio e Indústria0:3
- 21.09away · Trofense3:2
- 21.09Portimonense1:3
- 01.11away · Académico Viseu1:2
- 25.10Famalicão0:4
- 17.10away · Louletano1:0
- 11.10Nacional3:2
- 19.09away · Alverca0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- SanjoanenseAcadémicapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Gil VicenteOlhanensepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- FarenseFátimapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Vitória de SernacheLusitânia Lourosapreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Estrela da AmadoraPortimonensepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- União de LeiriaLeçapreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TorreenseBenficapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →