Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Sanjoanense — Académica
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Sanjoanense 34%, Académica 40%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Académica are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sanjoanense — Académica What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Sanjoanense not to lose | 60% | |
| Académica not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sanjoanense
- Sanjoanense goals
- Académica goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 17.10Nacional1:0
- 20.09away · Ançã FC4:1
- 20.09Felgueiras 19320:4
- 20.10Farense2:4
- 22.09away · Fátima0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- Gil VicenteOlhanensepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- VianenseRio Avepreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- FarenseFátimapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Vitória de SernacheLusitânia Lourosapreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Estrela da AmadoraPortimonensepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- União de LeiriaLeçapreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TorreenseBenficapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →