Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Vitória de Sernache — Lusitânia Lourosa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lusitânia Lourosa are slightly stronger: 40% against 33%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitória de Sernache — Lusitânia Lourosa What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Vitória de Sernache not to lose | 60% | |
| Lusitânia Lourosa not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vitória de Sernache
- Vitória de Sernache goals
- Lusitânia Lourosa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 18.10AD Limianos2:1
- 20.09away · Madalena3:1
- 23.11Torreense0:1
- 19.10GD Resende2:0
- 20.09away · FC Castrense5:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- SanjoanenseAcadémicapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Gil VicenteOlhanensepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- VianenseRio Avepreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- FarenseFátimapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Estrela da AmadoraPortimonensepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- União de LeiriaLeçapreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TorreenseBenficapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →