Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Gil Vicente — Olhanense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gil Vicente are clear favourites: 79% against 7% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Gil Vicente are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
- Gil Vicente are 448 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gil Vicente — Olhanense What is xG? | 2.7–0.7 | |
| Gil Vicente not to lose | 93% | |
| Olhanense not to lose | 21% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente goals
- Olhanense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 02.11Vitória de Guimarães0:0
- 24.10FC Porto0:1
- 19.10away · Braga2:1
- 14.10away · Santarém3:2
- 09.10away · Moreirense1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- SanjoanenseAcadémicapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- VianenseRio Avepreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- FarenseFátimapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Vitória de SernacheLusitânia Lourosapreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Estrela da AmadoraPortimonensepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- União de LeiriaLeçapreliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- TorreenseBenficapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →