Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
União de Leiria — Leça
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
União de Leiria are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- União de Leiria are 146 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: União de Leiria — Leça What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| União de Leiria not to lose | 72% | |
| Leça not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap União de Leiria
- União de Leiria goals
- Leça goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 17.10Bragança2:1
- 19.09away · O Elvas2:0
- 11.01away · Torreense1:3
- 17.12away · Vila Meã1:0
- 22.11away · S.U. 1 de Dezembro3:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- SanjoanenseAcadémicapreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- Gil VicenteOlhanensepreliminary791471The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
- VianenseRio Avepreliminary1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- FarenseFátimapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Vitória de SernacheLusitânia Lourosapreliminary3327402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Estrela da AmadoraPortimonensepreliminary3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- TorreenseBenficapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →