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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

FC Val de Risle — Stade Sotteville

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Model prediction and result

0:7Missed
FC Val de Risle39%
Draw27%
Stade Sotteville34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:7: the model's most likely outcome, FC Val de Risle to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: FC Val de Risle 39%, Stade Sotteville 34%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • FC Val de Risle are 70 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Val de Risle — Stade Sotteville What is xG?1.4–1.3
FC Val de Risle not to lose66%
Stade Sotteville not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Val de Risle
  • FC Val de Risle goals
  • Stade Sotteville goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

FC Val de Risle

No past matches in the data yet.

Stade Sotteville

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Stade SottevilleUSF Fecamp14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →