UEFA Conference League, round 3 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
KuPS — Gent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gent are clear favourites: 56% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- Gent's starting XI is worth €28m, KuPS's €3m (Transfermarkt).
- By the strength ratings Gent are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: KuPS — No. 31, 0 pts; Gent — No. 13, 3 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- KuPS: 3 defeats in a row; Gent: 3 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: KuPS — Gent What is xG? | 1.1–1.9 | |
| KuPS not to lose | 44% | |
| Gent not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap KuPS
- KuPS goals
- Gent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10Trabzonspor2:4
- 26.02away · Lech Poznań0:1
- 19.02Lech Poznań0:2
- 18.12away · Crystal Palace2:2
- 11.12Lausanne0:0
- 15.10AGF1:0
- 10.10away · Zulte Waregem2:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Conference League on the same day
- AtalantaKairat Almatypreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- FC MidtjyllandAjaxpreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'Escaldespreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Lincoln Red Imps FCHajduk Splitpreliminary3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- TrabzonsporFreiburgpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- AGFBragapreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- ThunHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- MjällbyBorac Banja Lukapreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →