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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Longjumeau — Linas Montlhery

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Model prediction and result

2:5Came true
Longjumeau31%
Draw27%
Linas Montlhery43%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:5: the model's most likely outcome, Linas Montlhery to win (43%), came true.

Linas Montlhery are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Longjumeau — Linas Montlhery What is xG?1.3–1.5
Longjumeau not to lose57%
Linas Montlhery not to lose69%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Longjumeau
  • Longjumeau goals
  • Linas Montlhery goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Longjumeau

No past matches in the data yet.

Linas Montlhery

  • 26.10away · Étoile Bobigny1:1
  • 16.11away · Corte1:1
  • 27.10Montrouge FC 922:2
  • 07.01Lens0:2
  • 19.11Paris 13 Atlético2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • AS ContresLinas Montlhery14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →