PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

Accounts and Premium are not available in your country; every forecast is open. New forecasts every day — in our Telegram channel.

UEFA Nations League, round 6, League B, group 1 · Monday, 16 November, (UTC+3) · National Arena Todor Proeski

North Macedonia — Slovenia

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 16 November

North Macedonia20%
Draw30%
Slovenia50%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Slovenia are clear favourites: 50% against 20% for the opponent, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 40%.

Why

  • National-team Elo: North Macedonia 1533, Slovenia 1718 — Slovenia clearly rated higher.

Facts

  • League table: North Macedonia — No. 4, 0 pts; Slovenia — No. 2, 7 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
  • Last 4 meetings: North Macedonia 1 win, Slovenia 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: North Macedonia — Slovenia What is xG?0.8–1.3
North Macedonia not to lose50%
Slovenia not to lose80%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes40%
Both teams to score: no60%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap North Macedonia
  • North Macedonia goals
  • Slovenia goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatNorth MacedoniaSlovenia
Goals scored per match0.21.1
Goals conceded per match2.61.2
xG per match0.400.63
Opponents’ xG1.660.74
Shots6.411.0
On target1.43.3
Corners2.25.1
Cards2.12.1
Possession, %4346

Averages per match: North Macedonia — the last 10, Slovenia — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

North Macedonia

  • 06.10away · Switzerland0:3
  • 03.10Scotland0:2
  • 29.09away · Slovenia0:2
  • 26.09Switzerland0:3
  • 01.06away · Turkiye0:4

Slovenia

  • 06.10away · Scotland2:1
  • 03.10away · Switzerland1:2
  • 29.09North Macedonia2:0
  • 26.09Scotland0:0
  • 07.06away · Croatia1:2

Head to head

  • 29.09.2026Slovenia — North Macedonia2:0
  • 01.06.2021North Macedonia — Slovenia1:1
  • 10.10.2019North Macedonia — Slovenia2:1
  • 24.03.2019Slovenia — North Macedonia1:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1, Promotion to the league aboveSwitzerland440011–1+1012
2, Promotion play-offsSlovenia42115–3+27
3Scotland41123–5-24
4, Relegation play-offNorth Macedonia40040–10-100

Season 2026/27

Full table

UEFA Nations League on the same day

  • Faroe IslandsMoldovapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
  • KazakhstanSlovakiapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.4
  • EstoniaBulgariapreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
  • IcelandLuxembourgpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
  • LithuaniaLiechtensteinpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.3
  • GermanyNetherlandspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
  • GreeceSerbiapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
  • SwitzerlandScotlandpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →