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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Poissy — Saint Ouen I Aumone

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Model prediction and result

2:3Missed
Poissy44%
Draw26%
Saint Ouen I Aumone30%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:3: the model's most likely outcome, Poissy to win (44%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 44% fails in about 56 matches out of 100 on average.

Poissy are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Poissy are 121 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Poissy — Saint Ouen I Aumone What is xG?1.5–1.2
Poissy not to lose70%
Saint Ouen I Aumone not to lose56%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Poissy
  • Poissy goals
  • Saint Ouen I Aumone goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Poissy

  • 29.10away · CMS Oissel1:1
  • 15.10Sainte Genevieve1:0
  • 28.11away · Versailles0:1
  • 14.11away · Saint-Julien Petit Quevilly2:1
  • 31.10away · FC Fleury 912:0

Saint Ouen I Aumone

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Saint Ouen I AumoneBoulogne14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →