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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Riviera — Istres

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Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Riviera32%
Draw27%
Istres41%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Istres to win (41%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 41% fails in about 59 matches out of 100 on average.

Istres are slightly stronger: 41% against 32%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Istres are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Riviera — Istres What is xG?1.3–1.5
Riviera not to lose59%
Istres not to lose68%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Riviera
  • Riviera goals
  • Istres goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Riviera

No past matches in the data yet.

Istres

  • 10.01Laval0:2
  • 20.12away · Mérignac0:0
  • 29.11away · Seyssinet Pariset2:0
  • 15.11away · Allinges2:1
  • 25.10away · La Valette1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Le Grau du RoiRiviera14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →