Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Rosario Central — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Rosario Central are clear favourites: 74% against 7% for the opponent, draw 19%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosario Central are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Rosario Central are 437 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Rosario Central: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Rosario Central — Estudiantes de Río Cuarto What is xG? | 1.9–0.5 | |
| Rosario Central not to lose | 93% | |
| Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to lose | 26% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Rosario Central
- Rosario Central goals
- Estudiantes de Río Cuarto goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Rosario Central | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.62 | 1.04 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.89 | 1.25 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 11.6 |
| On target | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Corners | 7.6 | 4.9 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Possession, % | 60 | 46 |
Form
- 31.10away · Sarmiento2:1
- 25.10Huracán2:0
- 18.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
- 11.10Independiente Rivadavia5:0
- 06.10away · Banfield1:1
- 31.10Gimnasia La Plata1:2
- 26.10away · Barracas Central1:2
- 19.10Aldosivi2:1
- 11.10away · River Plate0:1
- 05.10Racing Club1:2
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Rosario Central1:2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 383329XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4832201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
- 3831311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6622121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →