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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire — Angevin

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Model prediction and result

3:2Missed
Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire35%
Draw27%
Angevin38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Angevin to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire 35%, Angevin 38%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire — Angevin What is xG?1.3–1.4
Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire not to lose62%
Angevin not to lose65%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire
  • Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire goals
  • Angevin goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire

  • 27.10Sablé FC0:5

Angevin

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →