Serie B, round 12 · Saturday, 21 November, 17:00 (UTC+3)

Sampdoria — Benevento

Model prediction for 21 November

Sampdoria39%

Draw31%

Benevento31%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Sampdoria are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 31%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

League table: Sampdoria — No. 19, 8 pts; Benevento — No. 7, 15 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Last 2 meetings: Sampdoria 0 wins, Benevento 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sampdoria — Benevento What is xG?		1.3–1.2
Sampdoria not to lose		69%
Benevento not to lose		61%
No draw		69%
Both teams to score: yes		55%
Both teams to score: no		45%
Total over 2.5		48%
Total under 2.5		52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Sampdoria
Sampdoria goals
Benevento goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Sampdoria	Benevento
Goals scored per match	1.0	1.4
Goals conceded per match	1.8	1.0
xG per match	1.42	1.56
Opponents’ xG	1.33	1.24
Shots	14.7	15.7
On target	4.8	4.6
Corners	5.7	5.6
Cards	2.1	2.7
Possession, %	45	51

Averages per match: Sampdoria — the last 10, Benevento — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Sampdoria

31.10Virtus Entella2:0
27.10away · Ascoli0:2
24.10away · Südtirol1:1
18.10Arezzo1:2
09.10away · Avellino1:4

Benevento

31.10away · Cremonese0:2
27.10Catanzaro1:1
24.10away · Arezzo3:0
17.10LR Vicenza2:2
10.10Cesena2:0

Head to head

07.02.2021Benevento — Sampdoria1:1
26.09.2020Sampdoria — Benevento2:3

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6, Promotion play-offs	Avellino	10	4	3	3	15–10	+5	15
7, Promotion play-offs	Benevento	10	4	3	3	14–10	+4	15
8, Promotion play-offs	Pisa	10	4	3	3	18–15	+3	15
18, Relegation	Empoli	10	2	2	6	10–17	-7	8
19, Relegation	Sampdoria	10	2	2	6	10–18	-8	8
20, Relegation	Catanzaro	10	1	3	6	11–22	-11	6

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

17:00
AscoliLR Vicenzapreliminary
572518
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
17:00
CarrareseVirtus Entellapreliminary
373132
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.4
17:00
ModenaJuve Stabiapreliminary
572716
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
17:00
SüdtirolCremonesepreliminary
303139
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.4
19:15
CatanzaroPalermopreliminary
242650
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
21:30
EmpoliPisapreliminary
262846
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →